Daniel Vitasek vs Adam Kanak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13128265

Played Sep 14Finished

Daniel Vitasek

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1149111161214116

Adam Kanak

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%

Graded at full time

Daniel Vitasek to win

61.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Adam Kanak below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 12-14

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 61.2%

95 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:20

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Kanak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Vitasek 1596 vs Kanak 1588

Vitasek

Correct

both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vitasek 60% vs Kanak 20%

Vitasek

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vitasek 60% vs Kanak 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vitasek -1 · Kanak -3

Kanak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVitasek 1.83 / Kanak 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kanak)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13128265

Vitasek1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Kanak1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVitasekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 611 vs 63 / 10748.6%58.9%297 / 611 vs 63 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kanak

Vitasek 1.83/Kanak 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Kanak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vitasek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Vitasek10