TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129231
Played Sep 14Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
Daniel Vitasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 21–19 Daniel Vitasek Daniel Vitasek has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vitasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Heuman
Correct
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1575 vs Vitasek 1591
Vitasek
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 40% vs Vitasek 60%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 40% vs Vitasek 60%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman +1 · Vitasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.83 / Vitasek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vitasek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13129231
Heuman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Vitasek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHeuman leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman62.5%5 of 8
AwayVitasekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman8Vitasek2n = 10Heuman took 8 of 10
S2Heuman5Vitasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Heuman4Vitasek6n = 10Vitasek took 6 of 10
S4Heuman3Vitasek6n = 9Vitasek took 6 of 9
S5Heuman3Vitasek1n = 4Heuman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanVitasekH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.6+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 415 vs 298 / 61348.9%48.6%203 / 415 vs 298 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekHeuman 1.83/Vitasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 19:10I. Heuman331111113D. Vitasek217680
LSep 12 · 18:10I. Heuman52157711122D. Vitasek521311113143
WSep 12 · 14:10I. Heuman45118114113D. Vitasek3541151142
LAug 11 · 18:40I. Heuman351192131D. Vitasek4361111153
WAug 10 · 17:45I. Heuman529111110113D. Vitasek4211861252
LAug 8 · 17:45I. Heuman401111991D. Vitasek4013511113
WJul 31 · 20:39I. Heuman4312119113D. Vitasek351071171
WJul 31 · 18:10I. Heuman4111116583D. Vitasek4296111152
WJul 12 · 21:15I. Heuman4212811113D. Vitasek361011781
LJul 12 · 19:45I. Heuman311151231D. Vitasek4041114113
I. Heuman10
WSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113LSep 12 · 20:39I. Heuman1.55114591J. Palat2.3041111113LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113LSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122LSep 12 · 17:20I. Heuman1.91119381E. Precek1.8071111113WSep 12 · 16:10I. Heuman2.101111119113E. Precek1.6759131182LSep 12 · 14:40D. Skulina1.6712141111113I. Heuman2.1014169932WSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113LSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113
D. Vitasek10
WSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113WSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 21:08P. Marsalek1.8371111113D. Vitasek1.83115611WSep 12 · 19:40J. Palat2.20611111072D. Vitasek1.61118412113LSep 12 · 19:10P. Marsalek1.91111114113D. Vitasek1.801391291WSep 12 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831311113143I. Heuman1.83157711122WSep 12 · 16:50D. Vitasek—1111133D. Skulina—98110WSep 12 · 15:40D. Skulina1.501111781D. Vitasek2.5061311113LSep 12 · 15:10E. Precek1.831412113D. Vitasek1.83121090LSep 12 · 14:10D. Vitasek1.8341151142I. Heuman1.83118114113
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