TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13136892
Played Sep 15Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10123111191012––
Adam Kanak
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 62.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 4–3 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Heuman beat Kanak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Heuman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1575 vs Kanak 1560
Heuman
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Kanak 40%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 60% vs Kanak 20%
Heuman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman +1 · Kanak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Heuman) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.63 / Kanak 2.15
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Heuman)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13136892
Heuman1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 43 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 31 of 46
Kanak2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog66% won 21 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHeuman4wins
AwayKanak3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderHeuman leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman66.7%4 of 6
AwayKanakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman6Kanak1n = 7Heuman took 6 of 7
S2Heuman3Kanak4n = 7Kanak took 4 of 7
S3Heuman4Kanak3n = 7Heuman took 4 of 7
S4Heuman3Kanak2n = 5Heuman took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricHeumanKanakH − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match38.135.7+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 421 vs 66 / 11548.9%57.4%206 / 421 vs 66 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanHeuman 1.63/Kanak 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman3410311101A. Kanak4412119123
WSep 15 · 20:10I. Heuman4111118113A. Kanak28581141
WSep 14 · 20:10I. Heuman391215123A. Kanak331013100
WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman3611311113A. Kanak29611661
WAug 29 · 17:45I. Heuman351311113A. Kanak2611690
LAug 24 · 20:43I. Heuman371191071A. Kanak3951112113
LAug 24 · 20:10I. Heuman4511881172A. Kanak51911119113
I. Heuman10
WSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 19:10I. Heuman2.2010760D. Stusek1.611211113LSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092WSep 14 · 21:10I. Heuman2.00111111123D. Vitasek1.739913101WSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123WSep 14 · 19:10I. Heuman1.831111113D. Vitasek1.837680WSep 14 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.61991291I. Heuman2.20111110113LSep 12 · 20:39I. Heuman1.55114591J. Palat2.3041111113LSep 12 · 20:10I. Heuman1.61511751P. Marsalek2.2011611113WSep 12 · 18:40J. Palat2.20661161I. Heuman1.6111117113
A. Kanak10
LSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 18:10D. Stusek1.80117691A. Kanak1.9141111113WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892LSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.