TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156150
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116118––––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 58.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 7–2 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Travnicek
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1591 vs Kanak 1584
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 40% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 40% vs Kanak 60%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek -1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.91 / Kanak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13156150
Travnicek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 53 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Kanak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTravnicek7wins
AwayKanak2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderTravnicek leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%5 of 5
AwayKanak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek5Kanak4n = 9Travnicek took 5 of 9
S2Travnicek3Kanak6n = 9Kanak took 6 of 9
S3Travnicek4Kanak5n = 9Kanak took 5 of 9
S4Travnicek5Kanak3n = 8Travnicek took 5 of 8
S5Travnicek5Kanak0n = 5Travnicek took 5 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home556%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricTravnicekKanakT − KBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match43.743.2+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 418 vs 70 / 12149.8%57.9%208 / 418 vs 70 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakTravnicek 1.91/Kanak 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek501011116123A. Kanak46125811102
WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek51991111113A. Kanak4411117872
LSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek2611780A. Kanak351311113
WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek47117711113A. Kanak4891111892
WSep 10 · 21:18J. Travnicek531311810113A. Kanak51118111292
LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek31411881A. Kanak4111811113
WSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek46117611113A. Kanak4791111972
WSep 1 · 18:15J. Travnicek4814811153A. Kanak4212116131
WAug 24 · 19:10J. Travnicek4111712113A. Kanak355111091
J. Travnicek10
LSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133WSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271LSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092LSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892
A. Kanak10
WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123LSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892
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