TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152474
Played Sep 18Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191184111311
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 96 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–2 Dalibor Velky Jr Adam Kanak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1574 vs Jr 1579
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Jr 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 50% vs Jr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.20 / Jr 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Jr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13152474
Kanak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog65% won 24 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Jr1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 67 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it72% 51 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayJr2wins
Jr leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S2Kanak1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S3Kanak1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKanakJrK − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.037.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakJrBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 120 vs 272 / 54557.5%49.9%69 / 120 vs 272 / 545Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrKanak 2.20/Jr 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2578100D. Jr341111123
WAug 27 · 05:45A. Kanak4211911113D. Jr34711791
LAug 24 · 17:40A. Kanak29812271D. Jr43111011113
A. Kanak10
LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123LSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123WSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123LSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872
D. Jr10
LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791LSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111
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