TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156151
Played Sep 18Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511811––––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 2–8 Kamil Kleprlik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jr beat Kleprlik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kleprlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.20 / Kleprlik 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kleprlik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13156151
Jr2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 110 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Kleprlik1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 46 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayKleprlik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKleprlik87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S2Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S3Jr3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S4Jr2Kleprlik4n = 6Kleprlik took 4 of 6
S5Jr2Kleprlik1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKleprlikJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.539.8−8.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 546 vs 250 / 51149.8%48.9%272 / 546 vs 250 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikJr 2.20/Kleprlik 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr511011811113K. Kleprlik4212511592
LJun 27 · 17:20D. Jr248790K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 27 · 14:40D. Jr29911721K. Kleprlik4211911113
LJun 26 · 16:10D. Jr3926111192K. Kleprlik49111188113
LJun 6 · 19:10D. Jr207940K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 5 · 21:15D. Jr2411760K. Kleprlik351311113
WJun 5 · 19:45D. Jr49136136113K. Kleprlik531111111192
LMay 21 · 18:45D. Jr34117881K. Kleprlik3961111113
LMay 17 · 13:45D. Jr27491131K. Kleprlik3911116113
LMay 15 · 18:40D. Jr188460K. Kleprlik331111113
D. Jr10
LSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791LSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133LSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113WSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
Nothing scheduled
K. Kleprlik
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