TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152475
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71111131113––––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 66 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 54.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 10–16 Kamil Kleprlik Jakub Travnicek has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kleprlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Kleprlik
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1607 vs Kleprlik 1548
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Kleprlik 20%
Travnicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Kleprlik 30%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +2 · Kleprlik -3
Kleprlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kleprlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 2.10 / Kleprlik 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kleprlik)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13152475
Travnicek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 53 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Kleprlik1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 46 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek3wins
AwayKleprlik7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek50%2 of 4
AwayKleprlik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Travnicek1Kleprlik9n = 10Kleprlik took 9 of 10
S3Travnicek5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Travnicek3Kleprlik4n = 7Kleprlik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekKleprlikT − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.540.5−5.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 417 vs 249 / 51049.9%48.8%208 / 417 vs 249 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikTravnicek 2.10/Kleprlik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 20:15J. Travnicek228590K. Kleprlik331111113
WAug 28 · 21:19J. Travnicek3851111113K. Kleprlik32115971
WAug 28 · 19:45J. Travnicek46128411113K. Kleprlik48101111792
LAug 22 · 08:15J. Travnicek34591191K. Kleprlik3811115113
LAug 14 · 18:45J. Travnicek351184121K. Kleprlik4591111143
LJul 17 · 18:10J. Travnicek44881991K. Kleprlik50111117113
LJun 27 · 13:40J. Travnicek208570K. Kleprlik331111113
LMay 21 · 17:45J. Travnicek249870K. Kleprlik331111113
LMay 15 · 21:25J. Travnicek5115815492K. Kleprlik5913111311113
WMay 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek4111811113K. Kleprlik34611891
J. Travnicek10
WSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271LSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092LSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113WSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113LSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113WSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641
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