TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152476
Played Sep 18Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115811115119
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:13 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 63.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 2–8 Kamil Kleprlik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kleprlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Kleprlik
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1568 vs Kleprlik 1564
Jr
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Kleprlik 20%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Kleprlik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -3 · Kleprlik -2
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kleprlik) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.63 / Kleprlik 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kleprlik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13152476
Jr2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 110 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Kleprlik1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 46 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 31 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayKleprlik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKleprlik87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S2Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S3Jr3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S4Jr2Kleprlik4n = 6Kleprlik took 4 of 6
S5Jr2Kleprlik1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKleprlikJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.539.8−8.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 545 vs 250 / 51049.7%49%271 / 545 vs 250 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikJr 2.63/Kleprlik 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr511011811113K. Kleprlik4212511592
LJun 27 · 17:20D. Jr248790K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 27 · 14:40D. Jr29911721K. Kleprlik4211911113
LJun 26 · 16:10D. Jr3926111192K. Kleprlik49111188113
LJun 6 · 19:10D. Jr207940K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 5 · 21:15D. Jr2411760K. Kleprlik351311113
WJun 5 · 19:45D. Jr49136136113K. Kleprlik531111111192
LMay 21 · 18:45D. Jr34117881K. Kleprlik3961111113
LMay 17 · 13:45D. Jr27491131K. Kleprlik3911116113
LMay 15 · 18:40D. Jr188460K. Kleprlik331111113
D. Jr10
LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113LSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791LSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113WSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113LSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113WSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133LSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113WSep 17 · 16:15T. Krenek1.534890K. Kleprlik2.381111113LSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061WSep 11 · 20:49I. Heuman1.67561161K. Kleprlik2.1011119113LSep 11 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.807111081I. Heuman1.9111812113LSep 11 · 18:45D. Skulina1.57111211113K. Kleprlik2.25814641
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
Nothing scheduled
K. Kleprlik
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