TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139355
Played Sep 16Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13116111182111012
Adam Kanak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 95 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Adam Kanak at 60.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 0–1 Adam Kanak Ales Cizek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1499 vs Kanak 1549
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 20% vs Kanak 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 40% vs Kanak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -3 · Kanak -1
Cizek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.20 / Kanak 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Kanak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13139355
Cizek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 71 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Kanak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCizek0wins
AwayKanak1wins
Kanak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricCizekKanakC − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 471 vs 66 / 11647.6%56.9%224 / 471 vs 66 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakCizek 2.20/Kanak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 7 · 19:40A. Cizek239860A. Kanak331111113
A. Cizek10
WSep 16 · 20:15I. Heuman1.7338100A. Cizek2.001111123LSep 16 · 17:45D. Stusek1.61381111113A. Cizek2.2011119392LSep 8 · 20:45A. Cizek1.9111117492J. Lisztwan1.80581111113LSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970WSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372LSep 8 · 17:45D. Skulina1.40114119113A. Cizek2.7571161192WSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153LSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860LSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870WSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101
A. Kanak10
WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113LSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123WSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123LSep 15 · 20:10A. Kanak2.00581141I. Heuman1.7311118113LSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 18:10D. Stusek1.80117691A. Kanak1.9141111113WSep 14 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.8311780A. Kanak1.831311113LSep 14 · 20:10A. Kanak1.831013100I. Heuman1.831215123LSep 14 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.83117711113A. Kanak1.8391111892WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
A. Kanak
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