David Stusek vs Ales Cizek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13139360

Played Sep 16Finished

David Stusek

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

311811119113119

Ales Cizek

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

David Stusek to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDavid Stusek above · Ales Cizek below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-3

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 87 set 5, 11-9 — our read held David Stusek at 60.5%

87 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 08:28

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Stusek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stusek 1623 vs Cizek 1493

Stusek

Correct

both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stusek 60% vs Cizek 40%

Stusek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stusek 60% vs Cizek 40%

Stusek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stusek +3 · Cizek -2

Stusek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stusek)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStusek 1.61 / Cizek 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Stusek)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13139360

Stusek1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite63% won 26 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22

Cizek2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog43% won 71 of 165

Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStusekCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 185 vs 224 / 47049.7%47.7%92 / 185 vs 224 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stusek

Stusek 1.61/Cizek 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Stusek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Stusek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Stusek10