TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13155775
Played Sep 19Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121011511131012117
Daniel Vitasek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 102 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 61.4%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 28–32 Daniel Vitasek Jakub Travnicek has won 28 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vitasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-32 in 60
Vitasek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1609 vs Vitasek 1494
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Vitasek 0%
Travnicek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Vitasek 20%
Travnicek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +1 · Vitasek -5
Vitasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vitasek) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 2.75 / Vitasek 1.40
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vitasek)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13155775
Travnicek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back30% 20 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Vitasek1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 63 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek3wins
AwayVitasek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVitasek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek66.7%2 of 3
AwayVitasek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Vitasek7n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S2Travnicek4Vitasek6n = 10Vitasek took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek2Vitasek8n = 10Vitasek took 8 of 10
S4Travnicek2Vitasek5n = 7Vitasek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekVitasekT − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.3−1.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 422 vs 298 / 62350%47.8%211 / 422 vs 298 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekTravnicek 2.75/Vitasek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 06:10J. Travnicek5512111110113D. Vitasek47105131272
LSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek27211591D. Vitasek3611311113
LAug 26 · 17:40J. Travnicek3081390D. Vitasek371115113
LAug 22 · 08:50J. Travnicek32910130D. Vitasek381112153
WAug 22 · 06:15J. Travnicek518111011113D. Vitasek3711512452
WAug 20 · 19:10J. Travnicek4011711113D. Vitasek27211681
LAug 15 · 20:53J. Travnicek311010110D. Vitasek371212133
LAug 15 · 18:45J. Travnicek33911941D. Vitasek4211911113
LAug 8 · 19:15J. Travnicek391112881D. Vitasek4591411113
LAug 3 · 19:10J. Travnicek439911141D. Vitasek4711119163
J. Travnicek10
LSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133WSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680LSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133WSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 15 · 21:08D. Stusek1.7311811113J. Travnicek2.00711271LSep 15 · 19:40J. Travnicek1.83961171D. Stusek1.8311116113WSep 15 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.91991111113A. Kanak1.8011117872WSep 15 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.67124912113I. Heuman2.101011111092
D. Vitasek10
WSep 19 · 08:10D. Vitasek1.831111113E. Precek1.837840LSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891LSep 18 · 08:43D. Pawlik1.501311113D. Vitasek2.5011750LSep 18 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.5711119113D. Vitasek2.25331121LSep 18 · 07:15T. Krenek1.571112113D. Vitasek2.2541070LSep 18 · 06:15D. Vitasek2.105121371R. Benes1.67111411113LSep 16 · 08:33D. Vitasek2.001110170T. Kindl1.731312193WSep 16 · 08:10T. Kindl1.834790D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113LSep 16 · 05:40M. Macurak2.001111113D. Vitasek1.736860
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