TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156726
Played Sep 19Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118114––––
Erik Precek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeErik Precek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Erik Precek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 15–17 Erik Precek Daniel Vitasek has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Precek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Precek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1494 vs Precek 1518
Precek
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 0% vs Precek 20%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 10% vs Precek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek -7 · Precek -2
Vitasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Precek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.83 / Precek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Precek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13156726
Vitasek1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Precek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitasek4wins
AwayPrecek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrecek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitasek60%3 of 5
AwayPrecek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitasek5Precek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vitasek3Precek7n = 10Precek took 7 of 10
S3Vitasek7Precek3n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S4Vitasek3Precek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitasekPrecekV − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.9−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 623 vs 219 / 47147.8%46.5%298 / 623 vs 219 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrecekVitasek 1.83/Precek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Precek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 15:10D. Vitasek31121090E. Precek371412113
WAug 30 · 07:45D. Vitasek4781115133E. Precek4111613111
LAug 16 · 11:15D. Vitasek47116611132E. Precek54811119153
WJul 18 · 20:48D. Vitasek361111143E. Precek2778120
LJul 18 · 19:40D. Vitasek54115191092E. Precek576111712113
LJun 27 · 12:45D. Vitasek239590E. Precek331111113
WJun 27 · 10:15D. Vitasek331111113E. Precek237970
LJun 11 · 06:10D. Vitasek356101181E. Precek4211128113
WJun 10 · 08:45D. Vitasek4411911133E. Precek347115111
LJun 10 · 07:15D. Vitasek29771141E. Precek4111118113
D. Vitasek10
LSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891LSep 19 · 06:10J. Travnicek2.7512111110113D. Vitasek1.40105131272LSep 18 · 08:43D. Pawlik1.501311113D. Vitasek2.5011750LSep 18 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.5711119113D. Vitasek2.25331121LSep 18 · 07:15T. Krenek1.571112113D. Vitasek2.2541070LSep 18 · 06:15D. Vitasek2.105121371R. Benes1.67111411113LSep 16 · 08:33D. Vitasek2.001110170T. Kindl1.731312193WSep 16 · 08:10T. Kindl1.834790D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113
E. Precek10
WSep 19 · 08:40D. Vitasek1.807111131E. Precek1.9111913113LSep 19 · 07:10E. Precek2.10814110J. Travnicek1.671116133LSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113LSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 07:10L. Kantor1.8351111123E. Precek1.831189101LSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 17 · 12:43E. Precek1.916880D. Pawlik1.801111113WSep 17 · 11:40E. Precek2.38314115113D. Pawlik1.53111291192LSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123
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