TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13148768
Played Sep 18Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51112141311711––
Radek Benes
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radek Benes at 62.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 17–20 Radek Benes Daniel Vitasek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-20 in 37
Benes
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1549 vs Benes 1657
Benes
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 20% vs Benes 100%
Benes
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 40% vs Benes 70%
Benes
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek -1 · Benes +5
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 2.10 / Benes 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Benes)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13148768
Vitasek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 88 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back25% 24 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Benes1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 299
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it75% 113 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitasek5wins
AwayBenes5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitasek75%3 of 4
AwayBenes66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitasek4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S2Vitasek6Benes4n = 10Vitasek took 6 of 10
S3Vitasek4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Vitasek2Benes5n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
S5Vitasek3Benes1n = 4Vitasek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitasekBenesV − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.2−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 618 vs 497 / 95048.2%52.3%298 / 618 vs 497 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesVitasek 2.10/Benes 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:15D. Vitasek375121371R. Benes47111411113
WAug 26 · 21:15D. Vitasek351211123R. Benes29109100
LAug 26 · 19:10D. Vitasek32711681R. Benes4211911113
LJul 26 · 13:10D. Vitasek2578100R. Benes341111123
WJul 26 · 10:10D. Vitasek51111199113R. Benes4697111182
WJul 18 · 13:20D. Vitasek529111011113R. Benes4711612992
WJul 18 · 11:15D. Vitasek48111178113R. Benes4679111182
LJun 27 · 11:45D. Vitasek2611780R. Benes351311113
WJun 20 · 15:45D. Vitasek48101611113R. Benes421214791
LJun 1 · 06:40D. Vitasek4411811682R. Benes44611511113
D. Vitasek10
LSep 18 · 07:15T. Krenek1.571112113D. Vitasek2.2541070LSep 16 · 08:33D. Vitasek2.001110170T. Kindl1.731312193WSep 16 · 08:10T. Kindl1.834790D. Vitasek1.831111113LSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113LSep 16 · 05:40M. Macurak2.001111113D. Vitasek1.736860LSep 14 · 21:10I. Heuman2.00111111123D. Vitasek1.739913101WSep 14 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.00211591D. Vitasek1.7311311113LSep 14 · 19:10I. Heuman1.831111113D. Vitasek1.837680WSep 14 · 18:10D. Vitasek1.831191112113A. Kanak1.8341161462LSep 12 · 21:08P. Marsalek1.8371111113D. Vitasek1.83115611
R. Benes10
WSep 18 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.916121191R. Benes1.8011144113WSep 17 · 09:15R. Benes1.6211811113L. Slavik2.02511781WSep 17 · 08:15D. Jr1.731171271R. Benes2.0051114113WSep 17 · 07:15R. Benes1.80841111113T. Kindl1.9111116762WSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113WSep 14 · 13:15R. Benes2.00111011113J. Skvrna1.73812781LSep 14 · 12:15T. Kindl1.911111133R. Benes1.8058110WSep 14 · 11:15R. Benes1.91111110113J. Skvrna1.80781281WSep 14 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.8311511772R. Benes1.83411911113LSep 13 · 16:50R. Benes1.8365111132M. Macurak1.83111169113
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