TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13147733
Played Sep 17Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8118111181214––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 83 set 4, 12-14
83 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 7–7 Frantisek Chaloupka Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mrowetz beat Chaloupka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.67 / Chaloupka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mrowetz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13147733
Mrowetz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Chaloupka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back27% 16 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz5wins
AwayChaloupka5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz50%2 of 4
AwayChaloupka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz5Chaloupka5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrowetz4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz2Chaloupka6n = 8Chaloupka took 6 of 8
S5Mrowetz4Chaloupka1n = 5Mrowetz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzChaloupkaM − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.742.0−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 495 vs 270 / 52450.1%51.5%248 / 495 vs 270 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.67/Chaloupka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 15:45B. Mrowetz511171110123F. Chaloupka42711212102
WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz5310111011113F. Chaloupka5112912992
WSep 16 · 14:15B. Mrowetz51911119113F. Chaloupka4311691162
WAug 26 · 15:15B. Mrowetz50111711113F. Chaloupka40919661
LAug 24 · 10:40B. Mrowetz27119521F. Chaloupka4181111113
LAug 16 · 13:20B. Mrowetz227960F. Chaloupka331111113
LAug 16 · 10:40B. Mrowetz49111194142F. Chaloupka48551111163
LAug 9 · 10:10B. Mrowetz34712781F. Chaloupka43111011113
WAug 2 · 10:15B. Mrowetz501211115113F. Chaloupka4414471182
LJul 5 · 16:45B. Mrowetz2054110F. Chaloupka351111133
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690LSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113LSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061LSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882LSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 13 · 09:10T. Krenek2.1011114113F. Chaloupka1.65471161WSep 13 · 07:40J. Gembala1.67913591F. Chaloupka2.10111111113LSep 13 · 07:10T. Krenek1.9113118113F. Chaloupka1.801171171
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