TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156746
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10124111513811––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 62.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 3–2 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1639 vs Sedlacek 1575
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 80% vs Sedlacek 60%
Chaloupka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 60% vs Sedlacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -1 · Sedlacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.53 / Sedlacek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Chaloupka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13156746
Chaloupka1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 94 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107
Sedlacek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 30 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChaloupka3wins
AwaySedlacek2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderChaloupka leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySedlacek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka2Sedlacek3n = 5Sedlacek took 3 of 5
S2Chaloupka5Sedlacek0n = 5Chaloupka took 5 of 5
S3Chaloupka4Sedlacek1n = 5Chaloupka took 4 of 5
S4Chaloupka1Sedlacek2n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSedlacekC − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.836.0+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 528 vs 147 / 31751.9%46.4%274 / 528 vs 147 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.53/Sedlacek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 22 · 20:39F. Chaloupka331111113R. Sedlacek206860
LAug 22 · 18:10F. Chaloupka44101113372R. Sedlacek511261111113
WJun 26 · 14:45F. Chaloupka331111113R. Sedlacek279990
WFeb 18 · 15:15F. Chaloupka4381311113R. Sedlacek401111991
LDec 21 · 07:45F. Chaloupka368111071R. Sedlacek4211812113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113LSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113WSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891WSep 19 · 05:40F. Chaloupka1.53111197113E. Precek2.3859111192WSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143LSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.831111113T. Krenek1.836970WSep 17 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.67111012113K. Kleprlik2.109121061LSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192WSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143WSep 18 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.57101413113L. Kantor2.2512121141WSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113WSep 18 · 06:10E. Precek2.7569100R. Sedlacek1.401111123LSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka
Nothing scheduled
R. Sedlacek
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