TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
1.76
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119811115––
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:32 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Skalicky to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Skalicky at 61.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 0–1 Jiri Skalicky Marek Zaskodny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Zaskodny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zaskodny 1576 vs Skalicky 1627
Skalicky
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaskodny 20% vs Skalicky 60%
Skalicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaskodny 40% vs Skalicky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaskodny -3 · Skalicky +1
Zaskodny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zaskodny) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaskodny form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 1.76 / Skalicky 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zaskodny)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13163222
Zaskodny1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 14)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 23 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Skalicky1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZaskodny0wins
AwaySkalicky1wins
Skalicky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZaskodnySkalickyZ − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.039.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnySkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 288 vs 103 / 20241.3%51%119 / 288 vs 103 / 202Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaskodnyZaskodny 1.76/Skalicky 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zaskodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 17 · 06:40M. Zaskodny3511113101J. Skalicky3913311123
M. Zaskodny10
LSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113LSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113LSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152LSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571WSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek2.203790M. Zaskodny1.611111113LSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113WSep 8 · 17:40A. Baros1.57861131M. Zaskodny2.2511114113WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123
J. Skalicky10
WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171LSep 13 · 06:10F. Chaloupka1.831311510113J. Skalicky1.83117111282WSep 12 · 08:40F. Chaloupka1.919970J. Skalicky1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.80591161F. Chaloupka1.9111118113
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