TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129142
Played Sep 14Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111116911911311
Marek Zaskodny
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:01 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Marek Zaskodny below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 83 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Filip Sikora at 60.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 9–5 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sikora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Sikora
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1793 vs Zaskodny 1609
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 60% vs Zaskodny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 50% vs Zaskodny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -2 · Zaskodny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaskodny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.61 / Zaskodny 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sikora)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13129142
Sikora1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Zaskodny2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 45 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora6wins
AwayZaskodny4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora80%4 of 5
AwayZaskodny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora5Zaskodny5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikora7Zaskodny3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S3Sikora7Zaskodny3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S4Sikora3Zaskodny5n = 8Zaskodny took 5 of 8
S5Sikora2Zaskodny2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraZaskodnyS − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.7+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 312 vs 118 / 28456.4%41.6%176 / 312 vs 118 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.61/Zaskodny 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 20:45F. Sikora48811117113M. Zaskodny4011911182
LAug 12 · 19:10F. Sikora3261111222M. Zaskodny48119611113
WAug 7 · 18:10F. Sikora331111113M. Zaskodny216960
WAug 2 · 08:15F. Sikora4211119113M. Zaskodny24351151
WJul 25 · 08:48F. Sikora45111211113M. Zaskodny36714691
WJul 25 · 05:40F. Sikora481011115113M. Zaskodny4512761192
LJul 21 · 16:50F. Sikora491111101162M. Zaskodny49813125113
LJul 21 · 15:10F. Sikora291061121M. Zaskodny4112117113
WJul 12 · 09:40F. Sikora331111113M. Zaskodny144550
LJul 7 · 16:10F. Sikora31511781M. Zaskodny3911611113
F. Sikora10
LSep 14 · 14:40F. Sikora1.731013981D. Sarganek2.00121111113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890LSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480
M. Zaskodny10
LSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571WSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek2.203790M. Zaskodny1.611111113LSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113WSep 8 · 17:40A. Baros1.57861131M. Zaskodny2.2511114113WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170
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