TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098020
Played Sep 8Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711911––––
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Filip Sikora at 56.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 35–29 Rostislav Niezgoda Rostislav Niezgoda has won 29 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sikora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-29 in 64
Sikora
Wrong
gap of 6 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1836 vs Niezgoda 1759
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 80% vs Niezgoda 20%
Sikora
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 60% vs Niezgoda 30%
Sikora
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +4 · Niezgoda -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sikora) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.67 / Niezgoda 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sikora)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13098020
Sikora1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Niezgoda2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora8wins
AwayNiezgoda2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora80%8 of 10
AwayNiezgodan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora10Niezgoda0n = 10Sikora took 10 of 10
S2Sikora8Niezgoda2n = 10Sikora took 8 of 10
S3Sikora6Niezgoda4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sikora3Niezgoda2n = 5Sikora took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraNiezgodaS − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match36.731.1+5.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 310 vs 291 / 50256.8%58%176 / 310 vs 291 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.67/Niezgoda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora—12114113R. Niezgoda—1091191
WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—7880
WAug 23 · 11:45F. Sikora—11118113R. Niezgoda—641171
WAug 18 · 17:25F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—6690
LAug 18 · 14:45F. Sikora—121011952R. Niezgoda—1012811113
WAug 17 · 14:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—5970
LAug 12 · 19:40F. Sikora—1110871R. Niezgoda—91211113
WAug 7 · 21:05F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—9880
WAug 7 · 18:40F. Sikora—11135113R. Niezgoda—5111191
WAug 5 · 14:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—8780
F. Sikora10
WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 8 · 15:10P. Vicherek2.0013126362R. Niezgoda1.7311101111113LSep 8 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.6148111492J. Rak2.201111712113LSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113WSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880LSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111WSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642
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