TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098009
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111210611311611
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 54.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 31–40 Rostislav Niezgoda Petr Vicherek has won 31 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-40 in 71
Niezgoda
Correct
gap of 9 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vicherek 1670 vs Niezgoda 1759
Niezgoda
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vicherek 60% vs Niezgoda 20%
Vicherek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vicherek 40% vs Niezgoda 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vicherek -1 · Niezgoda -3
Niezgoda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 2.00 / Niezgoda 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Niezgoda)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13098009
Vicherek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Niezgoda1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 158 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it96% 87 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it80% 116 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek4wins
AwayNiezgoda6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek66.7%2 of 3
AwayNiezgoda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek3Niezgoda7n = 10Niezgoda took 7 of 10
S2Vicherek4Niezgoda6n = 10Niezgoda took 6 of 10
S3Vicherek4Niezgoda6n = 10Niezgoda took 6 of 10
S4Vicherek6Niezgoda2n = 8Vicherek took 6 of 8
S5Vicherek2Niezgoda3n = 5Niezgoda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekNiezgodaV − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.4−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 349 vs 291 / 50246.7%58%163 / 349 vs 291 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaVicherek 2.00/Niezgoda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 16:50P. Vicherek—78110R. Niezgoda—1111133
LSep 3 · 14:10P. Vicherek—11118642R. Niezgoda—461111113
LAug 31 · 19:45P. Vicherek—89111252R. Niezgoda—1111510113
LAug 24 · 17:09P. Vicherek—691161R. Niezgoda—11118113
WAug 24 · 15:40P. Vicherek—11116113R. Niezgoda—871161
WAug 20 · 19:45P. Vicherek—1110811113R. Niezgoda—61211592
WAug 17 · 16:33P. Vicherek—1251312123R. Niezgoda—14111110102
WAug 17 · 15:40P. Vicherek—91111113R. Niezgoda—118971
LAug 13 · 19:40P. Vicherek—61191282R. Niezgoda—1151110113
LAug 12 · 21:15P. Vicherek—6790R. Niezgoda—1111113
P. Vicherek10
WSep 8 · 16:40P. Vicherek1.801111113J. Rak1.911960WSep 8 · 16:10J. Rak1.80116100P. Vicherek1.911311123LSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113WSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113LSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113LSep 8 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.6148111492J. Rak2.201111712113LSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113WSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880LSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111WSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642
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