TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094134
Played Sep 7Finished
Antonin Baros
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911511611––
Petr Vicherek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAntonin Baros above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Baros 25–23 Petr Vicherek Petr Vicherek has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Baros beat Vicherek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vicherek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 2.00 / Vicherek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vicherek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13094134
Baros2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Vicherek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 46 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros7wins
AwayVicherek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros83.3%5 of 6
AwayVicherek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros6Vicherek4n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S2Baros5Vicherek5n = 10split evenly
S3Baros3Vicherek7n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S4Baros6Vicherek1n = 7Baros took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosVicherekB − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.135.6+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 386 vs 162 / 34746.9%46.7%181 / 386 vs 162 / 347Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekBaros 2.00/Vicherek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:10A. Baros—411411113P. Vicherek—11711792
WAug 31 · 18:15A. Baros—12117113P. Vicherek—1091181
WAug 20 · 19:15A. Baros—11118113P. Vicherek—961171
WAug 18 · 17:45A. Baros—131111113P. Vicherek—159261
LAug 14 · 21:10A. Baros—8850P. Vicherek—1111113
WAug 14 · 18:40A. Baros—1111113P. Vicherek—3880
WAug 13 · 19:10A. Baros—11811113P. Vicherek—911381
LAug 10 · 20:40A. Baros—61250P. Vicherek—1114113
WAug 10 · 18:10A. Baros—156811123P. Vicherek—1311115102
LJul 22 · 19:15A. Baros—115241P. Vicherek—61111113
A. Baros10
LSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880WSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123
P. Vicherek10
WSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113LSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113
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