TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091477
Played Sep 7Finished
Jonas Rak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118911117511
Petr Vicherek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJonas Rak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJonas Rak above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jonas Rak at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Rak 4–6 Petr Vicherek Jonas Rak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Vicherek
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rak 1719 vs Vicherek 1653
Rak
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rak 80% vs Vicherek 20%
Rak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rak 70% vs Vicherek 30%
Rak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rak +1 · Vicherek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Rak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 1.73 / Vicherek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Rak)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #13091477
Rak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Vicherek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRak4wins
AwayVicherek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVicherek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVicherek66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak1Vicherek9n = 10Vicherek took 9 of 10
S2Rak6Vicherek4n = 10Rak took 6 of 10
S3Rak4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S4Rak3Vicherek4n = 7Vicherek took 4 of 7
S5Rak2Vicherek1n = 3Rak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRakVicherekR − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.1−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 114 vs 161 / 34651.8%46.5%59 / 114 vs 161 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakRak 1.73/Vicherek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Rak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:10J. Rak—5121110113P. Vicherek—111091262
LAug 31 · 17:15J. Rak—129111182P. Vicherek—141177113
LAug 31 · 15:45J. Rak—211641P. Vicherek—11811113
LAug 25 · 14:15J. Rak—10960P. Vicherek—1211113
LJul 17 · 15:40J. Rak—5940P. Vicherek—1111113
WJul 12 · 06:40J. Rak—71411143P. Vicherek—11124121
WJun 22 · 14:15J. Rak—111179123P. Vicherek—791111102
LJun 19 · 15:10J. Rak—6830P. Vicherek—1111113
LMar 6 · 18:14J. Rak—911961P. Vicherek—11911113
WMar 6 · 17:10J. Rak—91111113P. Vicherek—117691
J. Rak10
LSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860WSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113LSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113WSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111
P. Vicherek10
WSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113LSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113
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