TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093970
Played Sep 7Finished
Jonas Rak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Filip Sikora
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJonas Rak above · Filip Sikora below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Rak 10–16 Filip Sikora Jonas Rak has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Rak beat Sikora 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 2.20 / Sikora 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sikora)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13093970
Rak2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 25 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back40% 14 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Sikora1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRak5wins
AwaySikora5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRak75%3 of 4
AwaySikora66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak4Sikora6n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S2Rak7Sikora3n = 10Rak took 7 of 10
S3Rak5Sikora5n = 10split evenly
S4Rak3Sikora3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRakSikoraR − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.5−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakSikoraBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 115 vs 173 / 30751.3%56.4%59 / 115 vs 173 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraRak 2.20/Sikora 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:40J. Rak—11146113F. Sikora—5121171
WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak—1711113F. Sikora—15480
WSep 6 · 10:40J. Rak—101317113F. Sikora—12111591
LSep 3 · 17:20J. Rak—611861F. Sikora—11411113
LSep 3 · 13:40J. Rak—127351F. Sikora—101111113
LAug 25 · 14:45J. Rak—9760F. Sikora—1111113
LAug 23 · 09:45J. Rak—36100F. Sikora—1111123
LAug 18 · 14:15J. Rak—312117102F. Sikora—1110711123
WAug 5 · 17:15J. Rak—1112113F. Sikora—81080
WAug 5 · 16:10J. Rak—41111113F. Sikora—118851
J. Rak10
LSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113WSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860WSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113LSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113WSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111
F. Sikora10
WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590
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