TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091362
Played Sep 7Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118118––––
Antonin Baros
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Filip Sikora at 64.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 19–13 Antonin Baros Antonin Baros has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Sikora
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1788 vs Baros 1694
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 20% vs Baros 80%
Baros
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 60% vs Baros 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -3 · Baros +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sikora) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.53 / Baros 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sikora)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13091362
Sikora1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Baros2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora6wins
AwayBaros4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora50%3 of 6
AwayBaros25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora6Baros4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S2Sikora7Baros3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S3Sikora6Baros4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sikora5Baros4n = 9Sikora took 5 of 9
S5Sikora1Baros3n = 4Baros took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraBarosS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.7+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 306 vs 181 / 38556.2%47%172 / 306 vs 181 / 385Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.53/Baros 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 9 · 14:10F. Sikora—101111113A. Baros—127851
WJun 27 · 19:10F. Sikora—711311113A. Baros—11811852
LJun 26 · 19:10F. Sikora—11712672A. Baros—7111011113
LJun 19 · 14:40F. Sikora—117111072A. Baros—811612113
WJun 17 · 13:45F. Sikora—11118113A. Baros—471151
WMay 18 · 14:15F. Sikora—111110113A. Baros—771251
LMay 7 · 19:15F. Sikora—134771A. Baros—111111113
WMay 5 · 14:15F. Sikora—61111113A. Baros—115751
WApr 30 · 14:45F. Sikora—1511123A. Baros—133100
LApr 23 · 17:14F. Sikora—913111052A. Baros—1111312113
F. Sikora10
WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590
A. Baros10
WSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123WAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292
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