TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091858
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114711114711911
Antonin Baros
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 23–23 Antonin Baros Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:41What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vicherek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-23 in 46
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vicherek 1673 vs Baros 1683
Baros
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vicherek 20% vs Baros 80%
Baros
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vicherek 40% vs Baros 70%
Baros
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vicherek +1 · Baros +3
Baros
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vicherek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 1.67 / Baros 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vicherek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13091858
Vicherek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 46 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Baros2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek4wins
AwayBaros6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek60%3 of 5
AwayBaros80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek5Baros5n = 10split evenly
S2Vicherek5Baros5n = 10split evenly
S3Vicherek7Baros3n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S4Vicherek1Baros6n = 7Baros took 6 of 7
S5Vicherek1Baros2n = 3Baros took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekBarosV − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.0−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 345 vs 180 / 38446.7%46.9%161 / 345 vs 180 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekVicherek 1.67/Baros 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 19:15P. Vicherek—961171A. Baros—11118113
LAug 18 · 17:45P. Vicherek—159261A. Baros—131111113
WAug 14 · 21:10P. Vicherek—1111113A. Baros—8850
LAug 14 · 18:40P. Vicherek—3880A. Baros—1111113
LAug 13 · 19:10P. Vicherek—911381A. Baros—11811113
WAug 10 · 20:40P. Vicherek—1114113A. Baros—61250
LAug 10 · 18:10P. Vicherek—1311115102A. Baros—156811123
WJul 22 · 19:15P. Vicherek—61111113A. Baros—115241
WJul 17 · 17:15P. Vicherek—128117123A. Baros—1011911102
LJul 17 · 13:40P. Vicherek—117111162A. Baros—811713113
P. Vicherek10
WSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252
A. Baros10
LSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123WAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292
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