TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097357
Played Sep 8Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116115––––
Petr Vicherek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 13–14 Petr Vicherek Filip Sikora has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:24What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1819 vs Vicherek 1678
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 40% vs Vicherek 60%
Vicherek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 60% vs Vicherek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +2 · Vicherek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sikora) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.80 / Vicherek 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sikora)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13097357
Sikora1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Vicherek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora4wins
AwayVicherek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVicherek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora50%4 of 8
AwayVicherekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora8Vicherek2n = 10Sikora took 8 of 10
S2Sikora6Vicherek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora3Vicherek7n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S4Sikora2Vicherek4n = 6Vicherek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraVicherekS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.1−0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 308 vs 163 / 34856.5%46.8%174 / 308 vs 163 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.80/Vicherek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora—12116582P. Vicherek—1091111113
WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora—1111113P. Vicherek—8590
WAug 25 · 17:23F. Sikora—111414113P. Vicherek—8121621
LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora—11651162P. Vicherek—611114113
WAug 17 · 14:10F. Sikora—1212143P. Vicherek—1010120
LAug 12 · 18:10F. Sikora—1113981P. Vicherek—61511113
LAug 7 · 20:10F. Sikora—5950P. Vicherek—1111113
LJul 21 · 15:40F. Sikora—116691P. Vicherek—91111113
LJun 26 · 18:10F. Sikora—8117111P. Vicherek—11711133
WJun 22 · 17:05F. Sikora—1211113P. Vicherek—10770
F. Sikora10
WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861
P. Vicherek10
WSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113WSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113LSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192
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