TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099698
Played Sep 8Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
2.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118119––––
Filip Sikora
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:54 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Filip Sikora below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Filip Sikora at 61.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 30–35 Filip Sikora Rostislav Niezgoda has won 30 of their 65 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Niezgoda beat Sikora 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Sikora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-35 in 65
Sikora
Wrong
gap of 5 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1784 vs Sikora 1819
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 40% vs Sikora 80%
Sikora
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 40% vs Sikora 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +2 · Sikora -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 2.29 / Sikora 1.51
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sikora)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13099698
Niezgoda2.29
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Sikora1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNiezgoda3wins
AwaySikora7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgodan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySikora77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda1Sikora9n = 10Sikora took 9 of 10
S2Niezgoda3Sikora7n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S3Niezgoda5Sikora5n = 10split evenly
S4Niezgoda2Sikora3n = 5Sikora took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricNiezgodaSikoraN − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.135.4−3.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaSikoraBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 504 vs 176 / 31158.1%56.6%293 / 504 vs 176 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraNiezgoda 2.29/Sikora 1.51
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.1%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 15:40R. Niezgoda—1111113F. Sikora—4790
LSep 6 · 11:40R. Niezgoda—1091191F. Sikora—12114113
LSep 3 · 15:40R. Niezgoda—7880F. Sikora—1111113
LAug 23 · 11:45R. Niezgoda—641171F. Sikora—11118113
LAug 18 · 17:25R. Niezgoda—6690F. Sikora—1111113
WAug 18 · 14:45R. Niezgoda—1012811113F. Sikora—121011952
LAug 17 · 14:40R. Niezgoda—5970F. Sikora—1111113
WAug 12 · 19:40R. Niezgoda—91211113F. Sikora—1110871
LAug 7 · 21:05R. Niezgoda—9880F. Sikora—1111113
LAug 7 · 18:40R. Niezgoda—5111191F. Sikora—11135113
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:10P. Vicherek2.0013126362R. Niezgoda1.7311101111113LSep 8 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.6148111492J. Rak2.201111712113LSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113WSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880
F. Sikora10
LSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880
Upcoming Matches
R. Niezgoda
F. Sikora
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.