TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129230
Played Sep 14Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121311911811––
David Sarganek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Filip Sikora at 56.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 28–25 David Sarganek David Sarganek has won 25 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sikora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-25 in 53
Sikora
Wrong
gap of 3 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1777 vs Sarganek 1554
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 223 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 40% vs Sarganek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 40% vs Sarganek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -3 · Sarganek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.73 / Sarganek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sikora)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13129230
Sikora1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Sarganek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 61 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora6wins
AwaySarganek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora100%6 of 6
AwaySarganek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora6Sarganek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S2Sikora6Sarganek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora4Sarganek6n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S4Sikora4Sarganek2n = 6Sikora took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraSarganekSikora − SarganekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.432.3+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 313 vs 248 / 48056.2%51.7%176 / 313 vs 248 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.73/Sarganek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sarganek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora4011711113D. Sarganek36711991
LAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora195950D. Sarganek331111113
WAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora5411111110113D. Sarganek4056131242
WAug 17 · 17:05F. Sikora331111113D. Sarganek206770
LAug 17 · 16:10F. Sikora185940D. Sarganek331111113
WAug 5 · 14:10F. Sikora3911116113D. Sarganek29551181
WAug 2 · 05:45F. Sikora331111113D. Sarganek185580
LJul 25 · 07:40F. Sikora32711951D. Sarganek4111811113
WJul 16 · 16:39F. Sikora3511211113D. Sarganek32911571
LJul 16 · 14:40F. Sikora4151161182D. Sarganek41113115113
F. Sikora10
LSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890LSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 14:40F. Sikora1.5371111123J. Rak2.381169101WSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 16:48J. Rak2.205970F. Sikora1.611111113WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880LSep 7 · 14:40F. Sikora1.575121171J. Rak2.2511146113LSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480
D. Sarganek10
LSep 14 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911212113D. Sarganek1.80101050LSep 9 · 21:10D. Sarganek2.357790R. Niezgoda1.481111113LSep 9 · 20:15D. Sarganek1.615850R. Kowal2.201111113WSep 9 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.611110851D. Sarganek2.2091211113WSep 9 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.9110890D. Sarganek1.801211113LSep 8 · 20:40A. Baros2.3811311123D. Sarganek1.537118101LSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek2.203790M. Zaskodny1.611111113LSep 8 · 18:40A. Baros2.501211113D. Sarganek1.5010880LSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113
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