TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098021
Played Sep 8Finished
Antonin Baros
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118118––––
David Sarganek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Sarganek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntonin Baros above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held David Sarganek at 60.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Baros 22–37 David Sarganek Antonin Baros has won 22 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:42What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sarganek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-37 in 59
Sarganek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baros 1665 vs Sarganek 1624
Baros
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 40% vs Sarganek 20%
Baros
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 50% vs Sarganek 30%
Baros
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros -3 · Sarganek -1
Baros
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 2.50 / Sarganek 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sarganek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13098021
Baros2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Sarganek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 72 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros2wins
AwaySarganek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSarganek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros40%2 of 5
AwaySarganek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros5Sarganek5n = 10split evenly
S2Baros3Sarganek7n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S3Baros3Sarganek7n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S4Baros1Sarganek2n = 3Sarganek took 2 of 3
S5Baros0Sarganek3n = 3Sarganek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosSarganekB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match29.935.2−5.3per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 388 vs 246 / 47246.7%52.1%181 / 388 vs 246 / 472Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekBaros 2.50/Sarganek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 20:15A. Baros—1111143D. Sarganek—67120
LAug 18 · 21:14A. Baros—10560D. Sarganek—1211113
LAug 18 · 19:15A. Baros—11611892D. Sarganek—811411113
WJul 22 · 20:15A. Baros—1111123D. Sarganek—37100
LJul 21 · 19:10A. Baros—9650D. Sarganek—1111113
LJul 18 · 19:15A. Baros—8760D. Sarganek—1111113
LJul 15 · 20:10A. Baros—6660D. Sarganek—1111113
LJul 2 · 17:40A. Baros—111112552D. Sarganek—591411113
LJun 23 · 18:10A. Baros—11741192D. Sarganek—811115113
LJun 19 · 18:40A. Baros—8370D. Sarganek—1111113
A. Baros10
LSep 8 · 19:40A. Baros2.6311165822R. Niezgoda1.449141111113LSep 8 · 17:40A. Baros1.57861131M. Zaskodny2.2511114113LSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113LSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880WSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113
D. Sarganek10
LSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113
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