TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097992
Played Sep 8Finished
Antonin Baros
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191614511811211
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntonin Baros above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 98 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 66.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Baros 22–50 Rostislav Niezgoda Antonin Baros has won 22 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-50 in 72
Niezgoda
Correct
gap of 28 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baros 1677 vs Niezgoda 1827
Niezgoda
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 40% vs Niezgoda 100%
Niezgoda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 60% vs Niezgoda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros +1 · Niezgoda +5
Niezgoda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Niezgoda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 2.63 / Niezgoda 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Niezgoda)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13097992
Baros2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Niezgoda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 158 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it96% 87 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it80% 116 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros3wins
AwayNiezgoda7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros33.3%1 of 3
AwayNiezgoda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros3Niezgoda7n = 10Niezgoda took 7 of 10
S2Baros4Niezgoda6n = 10Niezgoda took 6 of 10
S3Baros5Niezgoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Baros4Niezgoda4n = 8split evenly
S5Baros1Niezgoda3n = 4Niezgoda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosNiezgodaB − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.4−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 389 vs 296 / 50746.8%58.4%182 / 389 vs 296 / 507Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaBaros 2.63/Niezgoda 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 18:45A. Baros—71112872R. Niezgoda—1181011113
LAug 26 · 21:15A. Baros—69110R. Niezgoda—1111133
LAug 26 · 19:45A. Baros—811861R. Niezgoda—11411113
WAug 20 · 21:15A. Baros—91111113R. Niezgoda—112761
LAug 20 · 17:45A. Baros—11911442R. Niezgoda—511811113
LAug 13 · 21:05A. Baros—6780R. Niezgoda—1111113
WAug 13 · 17:40A. Baros—118311113R. Niezgoda—81111932
LAug 10 · 18:40A. Baros—11591222R. Niezgoda—3111110113
WJul 21 · 20:10A. Baros—81111113R. Niezgoda—114561
LJul 18 · 17:45A. Baros—691161R. Niezgoda—11119113
A. Baros10
WSep 8 · 20:40A. Baros2.3811311123D. Sarganek1.537118101WSep 8 · 18:40A. Baros2.501211113D. Sarganek1.5010880LSep 8 · 17:40A. Baros1.57861131M. Zaskodny2.2511114113LSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113LSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880WSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113WSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890WSep 8 · 15:40F. Sikora1.674790R. Niezgoda2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:10P. Vicherek2.0013126362R. Niezgoda1.7311101111113LSep 8 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.6148111492J. Rak2.201111712113LSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872
Upcoming Matches
A. Baros
Nothing scheduled
R. Niezgoda
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