TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097356
Played Sep 8Finished
Antonin Baros
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611114311––
Marek Zaskodny
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeAntonin Baros to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntonin Baros above · Marek Zaskodny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 65 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Antonin Baros at 61.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Baros 23–9 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Baros
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-9 in 32
Baros
Wrong
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baros 1680 vs Zaskodny 1581
Baros
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 60% vs Zaskodny 40%
Baros
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 50% vs Zaskodny 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros -2 · Zaskodny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Baros) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 1.57 / Zaskodny 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Baros)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13097356
Baros1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 32 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Zaskodny2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 49 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros6wins
AwayZaskodny4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros66.7%4 of 6
AwayZaskodny50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros6Zaskodny4n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S2Baros5Zaskodny5n = 10split evenly
S3Baros5Zaskodny5n = 10split evenly
S4Baros7Zaskodny2n = 9Baros took 7 of 9
S5Baros1Zaskodny2n = 3Zaskodny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosZaskodnyB − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.537.50.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 387 vs 116 / 28046.8%41.4%181 / 387 vs 116 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosBaros 1.57/Zaskodny 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 20:15A. Baros—111111113M. Zaskodny—581371
WAug 14 · 18:10A. Baros—71111153M. Zaskodny—1179131
LAug 13 · 20:10A. Baros—114231M. Zaskodny—81111113
LJul 18 · 20:45A. Baros—39111162M. Zaskodny—111189113
LJul 18 · 20:15A. Baros—114931M. Zaskodny—61111113
WJul 17 · 16:10A. Baros—11612113M. Zaskodny—8111091
WJun 23 · 20:40A. Baros—851111113M. Zaskodny—11115792
WJun 23 · 20:10A. Baros—11119113M. Zaskodny—861171
WJun 19 · 20:45A. Baros—1111113M. Zaskodny—3630
LJun 19 · 20:10A. Baros—51171422M. Zaskodny—1121112113
A. Baros10
WSep 8 · 18:40A. Baros2.501211113D. Sarganek1.5010880LSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113LSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora1.531111113A. Baros2.385880WSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 14:10A. Baros2.201113113J. Rak1.6181150WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110
M. Zaskodny10
LSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170LAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130WAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981
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