TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102882
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811911––––
David Sarganek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 56.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 24–32 David Sarganek Petr Vicherek has won 24 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sarganek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-32 in 56
Sarganek
Correct
gap of 8 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vicherek 1691 vs Sarganek 1558
Vicherek
Wrong
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vicherek 60% vs Sarganek 20%
Vicherek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vicherek 50% vs Sarganek 10%
Vicherek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vicherek +2 · Sarganek -4
Sarganek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vicherek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 1.91 / Sarganek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vicherek)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13102882
Vicherek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 57 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Sarganek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 72 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek1wins
AwaySarganek9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSarganek leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek33.3%1 of 3
AwaySarganek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek3Sarganek7n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S2Vicherek2Sarganek8n = 10Sarganek took 8 of 10
S3Vicherek4Sarganek6n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S4Vicherek0Sarganek5n = 5Sarganek took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekSarganekV − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.336.4−9.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 352 vs 246 / 47546.9%51.8%165 / 352 vs 246 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekVicherek 1.91/Sarganek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sarganek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek—1111511D. Sarganek—11311113
WAug 20 · 20:45P. Vicherek—1111113D. Sarganek—8690
LAug 20 · 18:15P. Vicherek—117681D. Sarganek—41111113
LAug 18 · 19:45P. Vicherek—7910D. Sarganek—1111113
LAug 17 · 15:10P. Vicherek—6911101D. Sarganek—11117123
LJul 30 · 19:40P. Vicherek—41111722D. Sarganek—119811113
LJul 28 · 18:15P. Vicherek—9550D. Sarganek—1111113
LJul 22 · 21:08P. Vicherek—7670D. Sarganek—1111113
LJul 22 · 18:15P. Vicherek—691431D. Sarganek—111112113
LJul 15 · 18:10P. Vicherek—4980D. Sarganek—1111113
P. Vicherek10
WSep 8 · 16:40P. Vicherek1.801111113J. Rak1.911960WSep 8 · 16:10J. Rak1.80116100P. Vicherek1.911311123LSep 8 · 15:10P. Vicherek2.0013126362R. Niezgoda1.7311101111113LSep 8 · 13:40F. Sikora1.801111113P. Vicherek1.917650WSep 7 · 17:18A. Baros2.00119561P. Vicherek1.7391111113WSep 7 · 16:10J. Rak1.7391191152P. Vicherek2.00118117113LSep 7 · 15:10P. Vicherek1.6711711792A. Baros2.10411411113WSep 7 · 13:40F. Sikora1.7312116582P. Vicherek2.001091111113LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113
D. Sarganek10
LSep 8 · 20:40A. Baros2.3811311123D. Sarganek1.537118101LSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek2.203790M. Zaskodny1.611111113LSep 8 · 18:40A. Baros2.501211113D. Sarganek1.5010880LSep 8 · 18:10R. Niezgoda1.6161111113D. Sarganek2.20119761WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113
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