TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dalibor Velky Jr vs Radek Sedlacek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116511116611511
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 83 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 12–11 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1566 vs Sedlacek 1557
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Sedlacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Sedlacek -3
Sedlacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Sedlacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13185782
Jr2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 114 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Sedlacek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 38 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 24 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwaySedlacek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%4 of 6
AwaySedlacek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Sedlacek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Jr4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Sedlacek3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Jr1Sedlacek3n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSedlacekJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.2−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 557 vs 149 / 32349.7%46.1%277 / 557 vs 149 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekJr 2.00/Sedlacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:10D. Jr3811511652R. Sedlacek45611611113
WSep 13 · 19:10D. Jr331111113R. Sedlacek236980
LSep 4 · 10:40D. Jr258890R. Sedlacek331111113
LAug 18 · 09:45D. Jr4291231172R. Sedlacek521110119113
LAug 10 · 07:45D. Jr27711451R. Sedlacek4211911113
LJul 27 · 07:10D. Jr4511117972R. Sedlacek42631111113
WJul 17 · 09:14D. Jr5511101211113R. Sedlacek4781214582
WJul 17 · 07:15D. Jr4211911113R. Sedlacek31711671
LJul 15 · 08:40D. Jr28108100R. Sedlacek351211123
WJul 15 · 08:10D. Jr4311911123R. Sedlacek327114101
D. Jr10
WSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Jr1.801111113WSep 23 · 16:45A. Kanak1.8011641282D. Jr1.918111110113WSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122LSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113LSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113WSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 24 · 06:40T. Krenek1.671151011113R. Sedlacek2.1091112792LSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek2.008680R. Benes1.731111113LSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782WSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek1.911511129113R. Benes1.80138141192WSep 19 · 08:15R. Benes1.73510120R. Sedlacek2.001112143LSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113LSep 18 · 09:14R. Sedlacek1.53111165122L. Kantor2.38671111143
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