TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dalibor Velky Jr vs Tomas Krenek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511811117811
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:30 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 64.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 15–25 Tomas Krenek Dalibor Velky Jr has won 15 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-25 in 40
Krenek
Correct
gap of 10 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1571 vs Krenek 1667
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Krenek 70%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Krenek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.50 / Krenek 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Krenek)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13173288
Jr2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 111 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Krenek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 117 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr3wins
AwayKrenek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrenek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Krenek8n = 10Krenek took 8 of 10
S2Jr3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Jr4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S4Jr5Krenek1n = 6Jr took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKrenekJ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.4−1.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 548 vs 486 / 95049.8%51.2%273 / 548 vs 486 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekJr 2.50/Krenek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 10:10D. Jr2710890T. Krenek341211113
LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr35815120T. Krenek421117143
WSep 8 · 08:10D. Jr47111411113T. Krenek32316671
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr217590T. Krenek331111113
LSep 6 · 05:45D. Jr48951113102T. Krenek531111811123
LSep 3 · 06:45D. Jr44121151152T. Krenek53149118113
LSep 2 · 06:45D. Jr391112881T. Krenek4261411113
WAug 31 · 06:40D. Jr4291111113T. Krenek32116961
LAug 21 · 13:14D. Jr2410590T. Krenek341211113
WAug 21 · 12:15D. Jr4181111113T. Krenek29115491
D. Jr10
WSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113WSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113LSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791LSep 17 · 12:10D. Jr1.91118451L. Kantor1.8081111113WSep 17 · 10:40E. Precek1.80108100D. Jr1.911211123WSep 17 · 10:10D. Pawlik2.38911891D. Jr1.5311511113
T. Krenek10
WSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111177123D. Pawlik2.00681111102LSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123WSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892WSep 22 · 06:45T. Krenek1.8081118113M. Moravec1.911171691LSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113LSep 21 · 13:19T. Krenek1.8387100R. Benes1.831111123WSep 21 · 11:45T. Krenek1.831213113R. Benes1.83101160WSep 21 · 10:45T. Krenek1.9112811113M. Moravec1.801011691WSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek1.83116115113T. Kindl1.8321151192
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