TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Krenek vs Tomas Kindl 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711811119811
Tomas Kindl
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 62.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 13–12 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 20h before this match
Krenek beat Kindl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1697 vs Kindl 1509
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Kindl 20%
Krenek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 70% vs Kindl 20%
Krenek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -1 · Kindl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.67 / Kindl 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Krenek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13172982
Krenek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 117 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107
Kindl2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 49 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek7wins
AwayKindl3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek71.4%5 of 7
AwayKindl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Kindl3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek2Kindl8n = 10Kindl took 8 of 10
S3Krenek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S4Krenek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S5Krenek6Kindl1n = 7Krenek took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekKindlKrenek − KindlBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.346.4−0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 945 vs 216 / 43451.1%49.8%483 / 945 vs 216 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.441.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.67/Kindl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek44116115113T. Kindl3821151192
WSep 8 · 11:10T. Krenek45101113113T. Kindl411291191
WAug 19 · 07:45T. Krenek52119911123T. Kindl46511119102
LJul 20 · 06:40T. Krenek331184101T. Kindl4391111123
WJun 23 · 10:40T. Krenek45115611123T. Kindl50911119102
WJun 2 · 13:10T. Krenek541831012113T. Kindl541611121052
LJun 2 · 11:40T. Krenek32117771T. Kindl4071111113
WMay 21 · 09:25T. Krenek51981112113T. Kindl47111161092
LMay 21 · 06:10T. Krenek49911118102T. Kindl50117911123
WMay 19 · 19:45T. Krenek5811131211113T. Kindl55815101392
T. Krenek10
LSep 21 · 13:19T. Krenek1.8387100R. Benes1.831111123WSep 21 · 11:45T. Krenek1.831213113R. Benes1.83101160WSep 21 · 10:45T. Krenek1.9112811113M. Moravec1.801011691WSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek1.83116115113T. Kindl1.8321151192WSep 21 · 09:19R. Benes2.0011116101T. Krenek1.7313911123WSep 21 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73411811113D. Pawlik2.0011311482WSep 21 · 06:45T. Krenek1.80111311113I. Heuman1.91815771LSep 21 · 05:45T. Krenek1.80117991R. Benes1.9171111113LSep 18 · 13:15T. Krenek1.83109130J. Skvrna1.831211153WSep 18 · 12:15R. Benes1.73461151T. Krenek2.0011113113
T. Kindl10
LSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113WSep 21 · 12:15M. Moravec2.00811811112T. Kindl1.73115118133LSep 21 · 11:15T. Kindl1.9181141192R. Benes1.80119118113LSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek1.83116115113T. Kindl1.8321151192LSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113WSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113LSep 18 · 05:40T. Kindl1.83714891L. Kantor1.83111211113LSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142
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