TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
112611115511119
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 82 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 13–12 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kindl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1700 vs Kindl 1516
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Kindl 20%
Krenek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 70% vs Kindl 10%
Krenek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +3 · Kindl -1
Krenek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.83 / Kindl 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krenek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13166639
Krenek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Kindl1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek7wins
AwayKindl3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek71.4%5 of 7
AwayKindl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Kindl3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek2Kindl8n = 10Kindl took 8 of 10
S3Krenek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S4Krenek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S5Krenek6Kindl1n = 7Krenek took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekKindlKrenek − KindlBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.346.4−0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 942 vs 215 / 43151.1%49.9%481 / 942 vs 215 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.441.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.83/Kindl 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:45T. Krenek44116115113T. Kindl3821151192
WSep 8 · 11:10T. Krenek45101113113T. Kindl411291191
WAug 19 · 07:45T. Krenek52119911123T. Kindl46511119102
LJul 20 · 06:40T. Krenek331184101T. Kindl4391111123
WJun 23 · 10:40T. Krenek45115611123T. Kindl50911119102
WJun 2 · 13:10T. Krenek541831012113T. Kindl541611121052
LJun 2 · 11:40T. Krenek32117771T. Kindl4071111113
WMay 21 · 09:25T. Krenek51981112113T. Kindl47111161092
LMay 21 · 06:10T. Krenek49911118102T. Kindl50117911123
WMay 19 · 19:45T. Krenek5811131211113T. Kindl55815101392
T. Krenek10
WSep 21 · 09:19R. Benes2.0011116101T. Krenek1.7313911123WSep 21 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73411811113D. Pawlik2.0011311482WSep 21 · 06:45T. Krenek1.80111311113I. Heuman1.91815771LSep 21 · 05:45T. Krenek1.80117991R. Benes1.9171111113LSep 18 · 13:15T. Krenek1.83109130J. Skvrna1.831211153WSep 18 · 12:15R. Benes1.73461151T. Krenek2.0011113113LSep 18 · 11:15T. Krenek1.911199111J. Skvrna1.8071111133WSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113WSep 18 · 09:13T. Krenek1.8311811113R. Benes1.83811571WSep 18 · 08:15R. Benes1.73811691T. Krenek2.0011811113
T. Kindl10
LSep 18 · 08:44T. Kindl1.8361181152E. Precek1.83115116113WSep 18 · 07:40T. Kindl1.91138911113E. Precek1.80111111672LSep 18 · 06:40T. Kindl2.00112111172R. Sedlacek1.73611137113LSep 18 · 05:40T. Kindl1.83714891L. Kantor1.83111211113LSep 17 · 08:45D. Jr1.83513711113T. Kindl1.83111111472LSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142LSep 17 · 07:15R. Benes1.80841111113T. Kindl1.9111116762LSep 17 · 06:15T. Kindl1.735161481D. Jr2.00111812113LSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102LSep 16 · 11:40D. Pawlik1.731281111113T. Kindl2.0014117992
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