TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dalibor Velky Jr vs Kamil Kleprlik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191198118111012
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 66.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 2–9 Kamil Kleprlik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kleprlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Kleprlik
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1560 vs Kleprlik 1569
Kleprlik
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Kleprlik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Kleprlik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Kleprlik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kleprlik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.38 / Kleprlik 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kleprlik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13182693
Jr2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 112 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Kleprlik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it66% 31 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayKleprlik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKleprlik87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S2Jr2Kleprlik8n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S3Jr3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S4Jr2Kleprlik4n = 6Kleprlik took 4 of 6
S5Jr2Kleprlik1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKleprlikJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.839.8−8.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 552 vs 253 / 51749.6%48.9%274 / 552 vs 253 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikJr 2.38/Kleprlik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr218580K. Kleprlik331111113
WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr511011811113K. Kleprlik4212511592
LJun 27 · 17:20D. Jr248790K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 27 · 14:40D. Jr29911721K. Kleprlik4211911113
LJun 26 · 16:10D. Jr3926111192K. Kleprlik49111188113
LJun 6 · 19:10D. Jr207940K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 5 · 21:15D. Jr2411760K. Kleprlik351311113
WJun 5 · 19:45D. Jr49136136113K. Kleprlik531111111192
LMay 21 · 18:45D. Jr34117881K. Kleprlik3961111113
LMay 17 · 13:45D. Jr27491131K. Kleprlik3911116113
D. Jr10
LSep 23 · 13:45D. Jr1.80127811102A. Kanak1.911011118123LSep 22 · 13:13T. Krenek1.50771111113D. Jr2.5011116782WSep 22 · 12:15D. Pawlik2.009790D. Jr1.731111113LSep 22 · 11:15D. Jr2.5011581182T. Krenek1.50911117113WSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113LSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112WSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 17:40J. Travnicek1.831112113D. Jr1.8371090LSep 17 · 13:14L. Kantor1.5711911113D. Jr2.25411791
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 23 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.671111711113K. Kleprlik2.1013911782WSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782LSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113WSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113WSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133LSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
Nothing scheduled
K. Kleprlik
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