TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bruno Mrowetz vs Kamil Kleprlik 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113119711117118
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 56.2%
99 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 4–5 Kamil Kleprlik Bruno Mrowetz has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1663 vs Kleprlik 1577
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 80% vs Kleprlik 60%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 70% vs Kleprlik 50%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +1 · Kleprlik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.67 / Kleprlik 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13182697
Mrowetz1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 71 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Kleprlik2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 69 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMrowetz4wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKleprlik leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz75%3 of 4
AwayKleprlik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Kleprlik5n = 9Kleprlik took 5 of 9
S2Mrowetz5Kleprlik4n = 9Mrowetz took 5 of 9
S3Mrowetz4Kleprlik5n = 9Kleprlik took 5 of 9
S4Mrowetz0Kleprlik4n = 4Kleprlik took 4 of 4
S5Mrowetz2Kleprlik1n = 3Mrowetz took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMrowetzKleprlikM − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.937.6−2.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 503 vs 253 / 51650.5%49%254 / 503 vs 253 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.67/Kleprlik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 15:15B. Mrowetz48119116113K. Kleprlik4671181192
LAug 22 · 12:44B. Mrowetz30812641K. Kleprlik43111011113
WAug 22 · 10:45B. Mrowetz361114113K. Kleprlik2761290
WJun 28 · 12:40B. Mrowetz48611119113K. Kleprlik4311971152
LJun 28 · 10:10B. Mrowetz218580K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 15 · 16:40B. Mrowetz4211119742K. Kleprlik46671111113
LJun 15 · 13:40B. Mrowetz32138110K. Kleprlik391511133
WApr 26 · 06:15B. Mrowetz371115113K. Kleprlik2641390
LDec 4 · 13:15B. Mrowetz2041150K. Kleprlik351113113
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 23 · 13:08J. Krupnik1.7371160B. Mrowetz2.001113113LSep 23 · 12:15J. Krupnik1.911111113B. Mrowetz1.805850WSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970WSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113WSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123WSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782LSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113WSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113WSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133LSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592LSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 17 · 16:44K. Kleprlik1.441181491T. Krenek2.6361116113
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