TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113119119611118
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 22–16 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mrowetz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-16 in 38
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1632 vs Mrowetz 1619
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Mrowetz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 50% vs Mrowetz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -1 · Mrowetz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.91 / Mrowetz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13168393
Krupnik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 98 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Mrowetz1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 53 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayMrowetz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik66.7%4 of 6
AwayMrowetz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Mrowetz4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupnik2Mrowetz8n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10
S4Krupnik4Mrowetz5n = 9Mrowetz took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikMrowetzK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.939.0−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 900 vs 248 / 49651.4%50%463 / 900 vs 248 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzKrupnik 1.91/Mrowetz 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik27116641B. Mrowetz4291111113
WSep 1 · 06:45J. Krupnik4011117113B. Mrowetz37981191
LAug 12 · 11:40J. Krupnik29811371B. Mrowetz3711411113
LJul 27 · 12:48J. Krupnik199370B. Mrowetz331111113
WJul 27 · 09:40J. Krupnik43111110113B. Mrowetz36691291
WJul 22 · 12:39J. Krupnik4211119113B. Mrowetz32931191
WJul 22 · 09:40J. Krupnik42118111113B. Mrowetz4091111362
LJul 21 · 09:40J. Krupnik31491171B. Mrowetz4111118113
LJul 15 · 12:40J. Krupnik31136481B. Mrowetz44111111113
WJul 15 · 09:40J. Krupnik45511115133B. Mrowetz48116911112
J. Krupnik10
WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113LSep 17 · 12:45M. Macurak1.611111123J. Krupnik2.2057100
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690
Upcoming Matches
J. Krupnik
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
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