TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411711117119911
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:40 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–0 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:40What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1594 vs Krupnik 1643
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Krupnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.00 / Krupnik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13168747
Kanak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog67% won 26 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Krupnik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 134 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 92 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak1wins
AwayKrupnik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKanak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakKrupnikKanak − KrupnikBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.049.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 123 vs 464 / 90157.7%51.5%71 / 123 vs 464 / 901Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKanak 2.00/Krupnik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 19:15A. Kanak471110123113J. Krupnik49712101192
A. Kanak10
LSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450WSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123LSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123
J. Krupnik10
WSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kanak
J. Krupnik
Nothing scheduled
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