TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111210711––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 5–4 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1575 vs Krupnik 1652
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 20% vs Krupnik 80%
Krupnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 30% vs Krupnik 70%
Krupnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -3 · Krupnik +2
Skulina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.83 / Krupnik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13168621
Skulina1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krupnik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkulina5wins
AwayKrupnik4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSkulina leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina80%4 of 5
AwayKrupnik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina5Krupnik4n = 9Skulina took 5 of 9
S2Skulina7Krupnik2n = 9Skulina took 7 of 9
S3Skulina7Krupnik2n = 9Skulina took 7 of 9
S4Skulina0Krupnik4n = 4Krupnik took 4 of 4
S5Skulina1Krupnik2n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkulinaKrupnikS − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.234.3+2.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 176 vs 465 / 90249.4%51.6%87 / 176 vs 465 / 902Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikSkulina 1.83/Krupnik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina2357110J. Krupnik351111133
WSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina371211143J. Krupnik26104120
WSep 7 · 19:45D. Skulina331111113J. Krupnik217950
WAug 21 · 16:10D. Skulina46511118113J. Krupnik4711981182
LJul 23 · 12:15D. Skulina50121111972J. Krupnik47145611113
WMar 11 · 12:40D. Skulina331111113J. Krupnik248880
WMar 2 · 10:40D. Skulina341111123J. Krupnik2192100
LDec 16 · 16:45D. Skulina4411118682J. Krupnik44741111113
LDec 15 · 20:10D. Skulina35971361J. Krupnik44111111113
D. Skulina10
LSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152
J. Krupnik10
WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112LSep 18 · 09:45J. Krupnik1.73117381T. Krenek2.0071111113
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