TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1193111210114––
David Skulina
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4
71 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–0 David Skulina David Skulina has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kanak beat Skulina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skulina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.15 / Skulina 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skulina)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13171870
Kanak2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog67% won 26 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Skulina1.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak1wins
AwaySkulina0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKanak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakSkulinaK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.043.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 125 vs 87 / 17756.8%49.2%71 / 125 vs 87 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaKanak 2.15/Skulina 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 21 · 13:45A. Kanak46511118113D. Skulina4311771172
A. Kanak10
LSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450LSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123
D. Skulina10
LSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152
Upcoming Matches
A. Kanak
D. Skulina
Nothing scheduled
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