TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711711118711
Adam Kanak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:45 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 58.6%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1611 vs Kanak 1571
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 20% vs Kanak 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 30% vs Kanak 50%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -1 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.73 / Kanak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13168488
Skulina1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Kanak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog67% won 26 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 174 vs 70 / 12250%57.4%87 / 174 vs 70 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.73/Kanak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Skulina10
LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172
A. Kanak10
LSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123LSep 16 · 18:15A. Kanak1.831168101I. Heuman1.8361111123WSep 15 · 20:40I. Heuman1.6310311101A. Kanak2.1512119123
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