TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113611––––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 62.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 2–0 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1588 vs Mrowetz 1609
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 20% vs Mrowetz 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 30% vs Mrowetz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -2 · Mrowetz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.61 / Mrowetz 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Skulina)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13168751
Skulina1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Mrowetz2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 63 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkulina2wins
AwayMrowetz0wins
Skulina leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkulinaMrowetzS − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.529.0+8.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 175 vs 248 / 49649.7%50%87 / 175 vs 248 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.61/Mrowetz 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 16 · 16:15D. Skulina391115133B. Mrowetz32813110
WSep 15 · 16:15D. Skulina361411113B. Mrowetz2612590
D. Skulina10
LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690
Upcoming Matches
D. Skulina
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
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