TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
David Skulina
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119711118911
Jiri Skalicky
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jiri Skalicky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11
99 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 1–2 Jiri Skalicky David Skulina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Skalicky beat Skulina 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skalicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skalicky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 2.00 / Skalicky 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skalicky)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13165730
Skulina2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 17 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Skalicky1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkulina1wins
AwaySkalicky2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSkalicky leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina1Skalicky2n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
S2Skulina1Skalicky2n = 3Skalicky took 2 of 3
S3Skulina0Skalicky3n = 3Skalicky took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkulinaSkalickySkulina − SkalickyBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.745.70.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaSkalickyBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 173 vs 104 / 20550.3%50.7%87 / 173 vs 104 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkalickySkulina 2.00/Skalicky 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skalicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skalicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 20 · 15:15D. Skulina54159811112J. Skalicky531311115133
WJul 26 · 12:40D. Skulina561111711163J. Skalicky50137115142
LJul 26 · 09:40D. Skulina2791080J. Skalicky341112113
D. Skulina10
WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133WSep 16 · 15:15D. Skulina1.91611114113F. Chaloupka1.8011871152LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.6112590D. Skulina2.201411113
J. Skalicky10
LSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112LSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151WSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192LSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 07:15R. Sedlacek2.1012581192J. Skalicky1.671011118113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Skalicky2.1011111111113R. Benes1.6713813792LSep 13 · 08:40J. Gembala1.6711611113J. Skalicky2.10611881WSep 13 · 08:10J. Skalicky1.8011814113T. Krenek1.915111221LSep 13 · 06:40J. Gembala1.7311127113J. Skalicky2.009101171
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