TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114115––––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1622 vs Kanak 1585
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 60% vs Kanak 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 50% vs Kanak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +1 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.83 / Kanak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrowetz)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13168744
Mrowetz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kanak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 497 vs 71 / 12450.1%57.3%249 / 497 vs 71 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.83/Kanak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.7311691162B. Mrowetz2.00911119113LSep 15 · 16:45M. Macurak1.671111113B. Mrowetz2.107690
A. Kanak10
WSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 18 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.911211113A. Kanak1.8010680WSep 18 · 20:10A. Kanak2.20711114133D. Jr1.61119811112LSep 18 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.831011116123A. Kanak1.83125811102WSep 18 · 18:10K. Kleprlik1.61671391A. Kanak2.20111111113LSep 16 · 21:10I. Heuman1.731111113A. Kanak2.007990WSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113WSep 16 · 19:15A. Cizek2.20136112102A. Kanak1.611111811123
Upcoming Matches
B. Mrowetz
Nothing scheduled
A. Kanak
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