TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311511118811––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 23–16 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.83 / Mrowetz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13171992
Krupnik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mrowetz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayMrowetz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik66.7%4 of 6
AwayMrowetz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Mrowetz4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupnik2Mrowetz8n = 10Mrowetz took 8 of 10
S4Krupnik4Mrowetz5n = 9Mrowetz took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikMrowetzK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.439.2−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 903 vs 250 / 49851.6%50.2%466 / 903 vs 250 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.83/Mrowetz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik501111116113B. Mrowetz5013991182
LSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik27116641B. Mrowetz4291111113
WSep 1 · 06:45J. Krupnik4011117113B. Mrowetz37981191
LAug 12 · 11:40J. Krupnik29811371B. Mrowetz3711411113
LJul 27 · 12:48J. Krupnik199370B. Mrowetz331111113
WJul 27 · 09:40J. Krupnik43111110113B. Mrowetz36691291
WJul 22 · 12:39J. Krupnik4211119113B. Mrowetz32931191
WJul 22 · 09:40J. Krupnik42118111113B. Mrowetz4091111362
LJul 21 · 09:40J. Krupnik31491171B. Mrowetz4111118113
LJul 15 · 12:40J. Krupnik31136481B. Mrowetz44111111113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192WSep 19 · 07:45J. Krupnik2.38128611113J. Skalicky1.53101111872WSep 19 · 06:45J. Krupnik1.911171111113R. Benes1.8061151352LSep 19 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.731111111282R. Sedlacek2.001313910113WSep 18 · 12:44J. Krupnik1.8311148113R. Benes1.836121181WSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 10:45J. Krupnik1.91911119133R. Benes1.80115411112
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992LSep 16 · 16:15B. Mrowetz2.00813110D. Skulina1.731115133LSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172
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