TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bruno Mrowetz vs Jan Skvrna 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 10–19 Jan Skvrna Bruno Mrowetz has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1659 vs Skvrna 1688
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 80% vs Skvrna 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 70% vs Skvrna 50%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +4 · Skvrna -1
Mrowetz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.91 / Skvrna 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13180676
Mrowetz1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Skvrna1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz3wins
AwaySkvrna7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz40%2 of 5
AwaySkvrna80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S2Mrowetz7Skvrna3n = 10Mrowetz took 7 of 10
S3Mrowetz4Skvrna6n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz3Skvrna6n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S5Mrowetz1Skvrna5n = 6Skvrna took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzSkvrnaM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.6−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 500 vs 482 / 82950.4%58.1%252 / 500 vs 482 / 829Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaMrowetz 1.91/Skvrna 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz4411118682J. Skvrna43731111113
WSep 1 · 10:45B. Mrowetz3711114113J. Skvrna33881161
LAug 25 · 09:40B. Mrowetz50711111382J. Skvrna42113215113
LAug 13 · 19:45B. Mrowetz4915711882J. Skvrna511311511113
WAug 9 · 11:40B. Mrowetz521111109113J. Skvrna4799121162
LAug 2 · 13:18B. Mrowetz2055100J. Skvrna341111123
LAug 2 · 10:45B. Mrowetz4791111792J. Skvrna51119911113
LJul 22 · 05:40B. Mrowetz4031181172J. Skvrna47117117113
WJul 20 · 15:40B. Mrowetz43101111113J. Skvrna35128781
LJul 15 · 11:10B. Mrowetz351185111J. Skvrna4381111133
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113WSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 17 · 17:09B. Mrowetz1.678811121F. Chaloupka2.1011118143WSep 17 · 15:45F. Chaloupka1.73711212102B. Mrowetz2.001171110123WSep 17 · 15:15K. Kleprlik2.0071181192B. Mrowetz1.73119116113LSep 17 · 14:15B. Mrowetz2.00511651T. Krenek1.7311911113WSep 16 · 16:44B. Mrowetz2.0010111011113F. Chaloupka1.7312912992
J. Skvrna10
LSep 23 · 11:45L. Slavik2.251281211113J. Skvrna1.57101114892LSep 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.6774111192J. Krupnik2.10111176113WSep 22 · 12:44J. Skvrna1.5711117113D. Pawlik2.25671191LSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.57125117113D. Pawlik2.25101151152LSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 20 · 21:24M. Macurak1.9111115113J. Skvrna1.80971161LSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak2.1013118113J. Skvrna1.671171131WSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143WSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941
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