TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Macurak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117511116––
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Macurak 4–9 Jan Skvrna Michal Macurak has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMacurak 1.91 / Skvrna 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Skvrna)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13166702
Macurak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 59 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Skvrna1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it95% 72 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it75% 158 of 211
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMacurak3wins
AwaySkvrna7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMacurak60%3 of 5
AwaySkvrna100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Macurak5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S2Macurak5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S3Macurak5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S4Macurak4Skvrna4n = 8split evenly
S5Macurak0Skvrna4n = 4Skvrna took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMacurakSkvrnaM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.5+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMacurakSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 499 vs 480 / 82351.5%58.3%257 / 499 vs 480 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaMacurak 1.91/Skvrna 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak4313118113J. Skvrna321171131
LSep 17 · 10:15M. Macurak53911911132J. Skvrna47118112153
LSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak37891191J. Skvrna4111118113
WSep 5 · 10:45M. Macurak351113113J. Skvrna2671180
LSep 4 · 06:40M. Macurak3911511842J. Skvrna46711611113
LJul 29 · 05:45M. Macurak391291171J. Skvrna4514119113
LJul 28 · 09:40M. Macurak4311781162J. Skvrna45511117113
WJun 26 · 13:30M. Macurak4111118113J. Skvrna33971161
LJun 26 · 11:15M. Macurak4571111792J. Skvrna47118611113
LMay 6 · 17:45M. Macurak225980J. Skvrna331111113
M. Macurak10
WSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak2.1013118113J. Skvrna1.671171131WSep 20 · 18:45M. Macurak1.671091112113J. Travnicek2.10121141072WSep 20 · 17:45M. Macurak1.571111113D. Vitasek2.259990WSep 17 · 12:45M. Macurak1.611111123J. Krupnik2.2057100LSep 17 · 12:15M. Macurak1.837111051T. Krenek1.8311212113WSep 17 · 10:45J. Krupnik2.381391181M. Macurak1.5315119113LSep 17 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.67118112153M. Macurak2.10911911132WSep 16 · 09:04L. Slavik1.6751080M. Macurak2.101112113LSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 06:40M. Macurak1.831011118113T. Kindl1.8312651112
J. Skvrna10
LSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak2.1013118113J. Skvrna1.671171131WSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143WSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941WSep 18 · 13:15T. Krenek1.83109130J. Skvrna1.831211153LSep 18 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9161112113J. Skvrna1.801191081WSep 18 · 11:15T. Krenek1.911199111J. Skvrna1.8071111133WSep 18 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.73911115153R. Benes2.00118711132LSep 17 · 13:15J. Skvrna1.801151210102T. Krenek1.919111012123WSep 17 · 11:45J. Krupnik1.9181361182J. Skvrna1.801111118113WSep 17 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.67118112153M. Macurak2.10911911132
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