TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Skvrna vs Jan Krupnik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711411117116911
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 36–26 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1700 vs Krupnik 1646
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 40% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Krupnik 70%
Krupnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +1 · Krupnik +3
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Krupnik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13180683
Skvrna1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 212
Krupnik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 99 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna7wins
AwayKrupnik3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna66.7%6 of 9
AwayKrupnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna9Krupnik1n = 10Skvrna took 9 of 10
S2Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Skvrna2Krupnik8n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S4Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S5Skvrna5Krupnik0n = 5Skvrna took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match44.241.7+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 828 vs 469 / 90858.2%51.7%482 / 828 vs 469 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Krupnik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 11:45J. Skvrna381191081J. Krupnik4061112113
WSep 17 · 11:45J. Skvrna521111118113J. Krupnik4681361182
WSep 14 · 11:45J. Skvrna51121296123J. Krupnik5210101111102
WSep 13 · 11:40J. Skvrna48711811113J. Krupnik4311811762
WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna47111177113J. Krupnik4269111152
LSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna32118491J. Krupnik4181111113
WAug 16 · 16:44J. Skvrna521110911113J. Krupnik3911211872
LAug 16 · 14:45J. Skvrna4113710111J. Krupnik47111112133
WJul 23 · 13:15J. Skvrna3711114113J. Krupnik29741171
WJul 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna44121011113J. Krupnik381012881
J. Skvrna10
LSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970WSep 22 · 12:44J. Skvrna1.5711117113D. Pawlik2.25671191LSep 22 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.83512421T. Krenek1.83111011113WSep 22 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.57125117113D. Pawlik2.25101151152LSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.501191171D. Jr2.5013116113LSep 20 · 21:24M. Macurak1.9111115113J. Skvrna1.80971161LSep 20 · 19:45M. Macurak2.1013118113J. Skvrna1.671171131WSep 20 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.6351211121J. Skvrna1.4411148143WSep 20 · 18:15J. Skvrna1.8311811113J. Travnicek1.83711941WSep 18 · 13:15T. Krenek1.83109130J. Skvrna1.831211153
J. Krupnik10
WSep 23 · 10:45L. Slavik2.005811101J. Krupnik1.7311118123WSep 23 · 09:14J. Krupnik1.6111711113E. Precek2.20711991WSep 23 · 07:40J. Krupnik1.8391111113R. Benes1.83118771WSep 23 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.57111198113R. Solle2.2578111182LSep 23 · 05:40J. Krupnik1.57111181192E. Precek2.25961113113LSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192
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