TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Slavik vs Jan Krupnik 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5118111181012––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 60.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 3–6 Jan Krupnik Lukas Slavik has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1617 vs Krupnik 1659
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 40% vs Krupnik 80%
Krupnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 40% vs Krupnik 70%
Krupnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik -2 · Krupnik +4
Krupnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 2.00 / Krupnik 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13180680
Slavik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back37% 16 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Krupnik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 133 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it73% 92 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlavik3wins
AwayKrupnik6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik75%3 of 4
AwayKrupnik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik4Krupnik5n = 9Krupnik took 5 of 9
S2Slavik3Krupnik6n = 9Krupnik took 6 of 9
S3Slavik4Krupnik5n = 9Krupnik took 5 of 9
S4Slavik2Krupnik3n = 5Krupnik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlavikKrupnikS − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match31.636.0−4.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 226 vs 470 / 90951.8%51.7%117 / 226 vs 470 / 909Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikSlavik 2.00/Krupnik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 12 · 19:40L. Slavik2781090J. Krupnik341112113
LJul 3 · 21:10L. Slavik29671151J. Krupnik4211119113
LJul 3 · 18:10L. Slavik4511921492J. Krupnik516111112113
LJun 15 · 12:10L. Slavik21451111J. Krupnik3911116113
WJun 15 · 05:40L. Slavik341111123J. Krupnik2587100
WJun 11 · 07:45L. Slavik341111123J. Krupnik2679100
LJun 1 · 06:15L. Slavik33811861J. Krupnik3611311113
WApr 23 · 09:15L. Slavik43116411113J. Krupnik3831111672
LApr 23 · 05:40L. Slavik183690J. Krupnik331111113
L. Slavik10
LSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113LSep 17 · 09:15R. Benes1.6211811113L. Slavik2.02511781WSep 17 · 07:45L. Slavik1.83911118113T. Kindl1.8311391142WSep 17 · 06:45L. Slavik1.8371211133D. Jr1.8311107111LSep 17 · 05:45L. Slavik1.83116761R. Benes1.8381111113LSep 16 · 09:04L. Slavik1.6751080M. Macurak2.101112113WSep 16 · 07:40M. Macurak1.83114111192L. Slavik1.83131117113WSep 16 · 07:10D. Vitasek2.007760L. Slavik1.731111113LSep 16 · 06:10L. Slavik1.83911119102T. Kindl1.83118911123LSep 15 · 12:40T. Grmela1.801111118113L. Slavik1.9113691162
J. Krupnik10
WSep 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.6774111192J. Krupnik2.10111176113WSep 23 · 09:14J. Krupnik1.6111711113E. Precek2.20711991WSep 23 · 07:40J. Krupnik1.8391111113R. Benes1.83118771WSep 23 · 06:40J. Krupnik1.57111198113R. Solle2.2578111182LSep 23 · 05:40J. Krupnik1.57111181192E. Precek2.25961113113LSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113WSep 21 · 15:15A. Kanak2.0047111192J. Krupnik1.73111179113WSep 21 · 14:15J. Krupnik1.911111116113B. Mrowetz1.8013991182LSep 19 · 09:15J. Skalicky1.61611116113J. Krupnik2.2011681192
Upcoming Matches
L. Slavik
Nothing scheduled
J. Krupnik
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